Reinforcement of reserves: seven offers have been received for the USD 1,000 million loan from international banks

Negotiations between the government and the entities advanced on Tuesday: the loan could exceed the 1,000 million dollars of the initial plan. It would be for a term of two years and with an interest rate of less than 10%

Sergi Massa is promoting a REPO of international banks for 1,000 million dollars to strengthen reserves.

This Tuesday, more details of the negotiations that the government was facing with the banks were known, to finalize a loan or a REPO with fresh funds from the entities. Seven offers have been received and it is estimated that the amount of the loan could exceed 1,000 million dollars, the figure initially planned, with an interest rate that would be less than 10% per annum, an affordable cost for Argentina given the country risk close to 2,000 basis points.

The free dollar rises to 381 pesos

The “blue” course of the dollar gained two pesos on Tuesday, to 381 dollars for sale. Informal money thus returned to the level it had at the end of January. In this sense, it should be remembered that in the previous three months, the “blue” dollar rose well above inflation levels.

With a big dollar gaining 40 cents at $192.05, the currency spread is 98.3%.

The free dollar gains 10.1% in 2023.
The free dollar gains 10.1% in 2023.

Dollarization: point of arrival or point of departure?

Monetary regime change becomes more emotional than rational, as personal disqualifications arise for those who think differently

Although the 2018 crisis had already erupted, there were enough reserves in the BCRA to save the pesos in circulation and the stock of interest-bearing liabilities that the BCRA had.  Today, that situation has changed remarkably (Reuters)
Although the 2018 crisis had already erupted, there were enough reserves in the BCRA to save the pesos in circulation and the stock of interest-bearing liabilities that the BCRA had. Today, that situation has changed remarkably (Reuters)

In 2018 and 2019, we organized with Jorge Avilarenowned and prestigious economist, two debates at UCEMA on dollarization, in which he also participated Alejandro Estrada. In both cases with the full auditorium plus transmission on linewhich showed that at that time there was already great interest in the subject, so it is not new in the Argentine economic debate.

How is the hard-watching economist Javier Milei’s Argentina dollarization plan

This is Emilio Ocampo, a university professor with a long career in investment banking. He proposed a program that skips the coin competition stage originally raised by the Liberal MP

Emilio Ocampo is an economist and historian
Emilio Ocampo is an economist and historian

Since confirming his desire to run for president in this year’s elections, the national deputy Javier Miley confirmed on several occasions that, if he reaches Casa Rosada, he will call a popular consultation with the aim of obtaining the necessary support to go ahead with his idea of ​​​​eliminating the central bankwhich would eventually lead to dollarization.

Loan for reserves and “soybean dollar 3”: the market supports the measures but doubts that they are enough

Both measures would help reduce the tension in the markets considerably, but they foresee that, eventually, more decisions will be necessary to ensure compliance with the IMF’s objectives.

Illustrative image of Argentine one hundred peso bills under the United States one hundred dollar bill.  REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian
Illustrative image of Argentine one hundred peso bills under the United States one hundred dollar bill. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian

The economics team is facing one of the toughest weeks in three months, ahead of an inflation announcement that will heighten market tensions. Since the beginning of the year, the Central Bank has continued to lose reserves and the market is beginning to consider the difficulties the government will have in reaching the reserve accumulation target set for March.

The free dollar returned to 379 pesos

He free dollar it gained two pesos on Monday to hit $379 to sell, reducing the loss since early February to two pesos. Recall that the currency closed January at 381 pesos on the informal market. In 2023, the note offered on the informal market accumulates an increase of 33 pesos or 9.5%.

The dollar counted with liquidation remains at $370 while the MEP raised a peso to 355 per unit.

He central bank sold $48 million and racked up a negative balance of nearly $500 million for the month.

Argentinian ADRs climbed as much as 9% on Wall Street. Dollar bonds fell 2%. US bond yields climbed to 6-week highs awaiting inflation data.

The BCRA sold $48 million and accumulates a negative balance of nearly $500 million over the month

The entity maintains net sales in the MULC of some $481 million in February, and $764 million since January 25.

The BCRA encourages firm rates to ease pressure on the dollar.
The BCRA encourages firm rates to ease pressure on the dollar.

He BCRA completed the first big wheel of the week with sales for $48 million to meet market needs, in a session with cash (cash) business for only $ 168.6 million. Thus, the entity contributed 28.5% of the currencies offered on the market.

Markets: the stock market rose by 3% and the Argentinian share gained up to 9% on Wall Street

The panel of flagship stocks on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange reached 257,625 points, with the positive drag from increases of more than 1% in the New York indices. Dollar bonds fall 0.4% on average, with a country risk of 1,966 points

The leading index is holding above the resistance of 250,000 points
The leading index is holding above the resistance of 250,000 points

While Wall Street gauges ended with gains in the 1.1% to 1.5% range, the index S&P Merval of the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange closed with a up 3.1% to 257,625 points. Thus, the panel of flagship stocks maintains a rise in the peso of 27% in 2023 and remains above the psychological barrier of 250,000 points, considered as short-term resistance for the indicator of the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange.

Categorized in: