ADEX: Peruvian agricultural exports would increase by 5% in 2023

He Association of Exporters (ADEX) Global Business and Economics Research Center estimated that Peruvian agricultural shipments (traditional and non-traditional) would exceed USD 10.4 billion in a positive scenario this year.

Likewise, he predicted that agricultural shipments could amount to $10.100 million in a pessimistic scenario, which will depend on certain external and internal factors.

During the meeting of the Adex Agribusiness, Food and Beverage Committee, the director of Cien-Adex, Edgar Vásquez Velaindicated that the performance of this sector, which could grow between 2% and 5%, will be influenced in particular by the evolution of the internal crisis in the country and the economic behavior of the main business partners.

“It will also depend on the improvement of the conditions of productive sector and the investment release vital for agro-industry, the international price of the main exported products and access to useful fertilizers to ensure national production,” the executive explained.

In this sense, Vásquez mentioned other factors, such as the possibility Slowdown in GDP Yeahinternational tradehe. “Peruvian economic growth will slow down in 2023, and this pace is not only influenced by external risks, but also by internal risks such as social conflicts, political instabilitydeteriorating expectations, corruption and the like,” he added.

However, the ADEX representative has maintained his optimism since the agro-exportsalthough they did not reach 10,000 million USD in 2022, they totaled more than 9,876,453,000 USD, which represents an increase of 12.6% compared to 2021 (8,767,501,000 USD), reaching a new historic record and demonstrating its resilience Faced with various circumstances such as the pandemic or the internal crisis.

“There agro-export agro-industrial it was the most important subsector in terms of value added among non-traditional exports. THE blueberries It was its No. 1 position with 1,366 million 300,000 USD, while the most dynamic was the egg yolk with a rise of 2,657%. The three main non-traditional products Sent in 2022: blueberries, grapes and avocados come from the agricultural sector”, specified the executive.

According to figures from Adex Data Trade Trade Intelligence Systemprimary agricultural shipments totaled USD 1,349 million last year, achieving a 57.3% increase over the same period in 2021 (USD 857,718,000).

Its No. 1 item was coffee without decaffeination or roasting with 1,231 million USD, reflecting an increase of 60.6% and accumulating 91.2% of the total. Other refined cane and beet solid sugars and other cane sugars followed. Its main markets were the United States, Germany, Belgium, Colombia, Sweden, Canada and Italy.

On the other hand, the agro-industrial shipments reached $8,527 million, an increase of 7.8% compared to the same period in 2021.

The most important products shipped were the blueberries (15.2% increase), grapes (8.9%) and avocado (-11.7%), which together accounted for 42.5% of total non-traditional agriculture.

The offer llegó priority has EE.UU. (USD 3.092 million) with a participation of 36.3% and a growth of 14%, seguido de Países Bajos, España, Ecuador, China, Chile, Reino Unido, México, Hong Kong, Colombia, among others.

For its part, Fernando Cillóniz, president of the consulting firm Inform@cciónpointed out that in 2022, blueberries have become Peru’s main agricultural export product, supplanting grapes in second place.

“As you can see, the blueberry dispatches grow in volume by around 30% per year on average, while blueberries they are increasing at a rate of 10% per year,” Cillóniz said.