Democrats lead Republicans and regain ground in new opinion poll

Democrats lead Republicans and regain ground in new opinion poll

  • The Democratic Party continues to recover ground ahead of the 2022 elections, according to a new poll

The Democrats continue to recover ground ahead of the 2022 elections that the United States will hold in November, according to a poll published today by The New York Times, which indicates that Joe Biden’s Democratic Party is benefiting from the decline in the prices of gasoline and for his recent legislative successes, as well as attention to abortion and former President Donald Trump.

The survey carried out by the newspaper and Siena College indicates that 46% of registered voters plan to support the Democratic Party for Congress in their district, compared to 44% who prefer the Republican Party.

The results are much the same as a similar poll found in July, when Democrats led by one percentage point, but public opinion now seems considerably more satisfied with the current situation.

The number of Americans who approve of Joe Biden’s job remains relatively low (42%), but among Democratic and independent voters the percentage who believe the country is headed in the right direction has risen sharply from July.

Now, half of the Democrats consulted are optimistic about the situation, compared to 27% in the previous survey by The New York Times and Siena College, while among independents the percentage has gone from 9 to 27%.

Among Republicans, that proportion remains unchanged, with just 5% believing the US is headed in the right direction.

The Times points to the recent declines in fuel prices as one of the keys, along with the approval in Congress of several important laws that had been delayed for the Democrats.

At the same time, two issues beyond his control help Biden’s party: the rejection of the Supreme Court’s decision to repeal the right to abortion and Trump’s return to the headlines amid his new problems with Justice and his participation in the election campaign.

In a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup, Biden leads Trump by three points, 45% to 42%, according to the poll.

This is a difference very similar to the one expressed by voters in the face of the legislative elections and that is within the margin of error of the poll.

Among the voters who give greater importance to social issues, the Democrats prevail very clearly, but the electorate continues to trust the Republicans more on economic issues, which may weigh heavily in the next elections.

The Republican Party aspires to regain control of Congress in November, something that was practically taken for granted at the beginning of the summer due to the poor numbers of the Democrats, but which is now beginning to be in doubt.

Ben Oakley
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