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In the best scenario for tourism in 2021, Mexico estimates the arrival of some 33.1 million international tourists, who will leave foreign exchange for about 16,000 million dollars, reported this Monday the Secretary of Tourism of the Mexican Government.
The agency specified that among the expectations of The Mexican tourism industry maintains three possible scenarios: optimistic, conservative and pessimistic, and the health measures implemented by the United States Government are also considered.
In a statement, Turismo de México pointed out that the options of these scenarios “They will become a reality according to the evolution of the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world, as well as the progress in the application of the vaccine that has already begun in our country and in the main markets that emit tourists to Mexico. ”.
In the number of international tourists that will arrive, The optimistic scenario projects 33.1 million, which represents an increase of 8.3 million over what was registered in 2020 and equivalent to an increase of 33.7%.
The conservative indicates instead the arrival of 30.4 million, that is, 5.6 million more than in 2020, which represents an increase of 22.6%, while the pessimist estimates the arrival of 25.2 million tourists, that is, 375,000 more than in 2020, with an increase of 1.5%.
Regarding the income of foreign currency by international visitors, the optimistic scenario foresees that they will reach 16,000 million dollars, 4.700 million dollars more than in 2020 and equivalent to an increase of 41.8%.
In the conservative scenario, some 14,400 million dollars are estimated, 3,200 million dollars higher than in 2020, that is, an increase of 27.4%; while the pessimist raises an income of 11,500 million dollars, 214 million more than in 2020, that is, an increase of 1.9%
In the note, the head of Tourism, Miguel Torruco, specified that due to the health emergency caused by the coronavirus pandemic, the United States Government has taken various health measures, the most recent, as of January 21, the incorporation of a negative covid-19 test for those who enter their country by plane.
In addition to the border restriction agreement that ended on January 21 and was extended to February 21, 2021.
Under this scheme, it is proposed that this year the arrival of tourists from the United States by air will reach 5.6 million, an increase of 8.4% compared to 2020, without considering a high impact of the US alerts.
While if there is an impact of the measures adopted, the arrival would be 5.5 million US tourists by plane, an increase of 6.1% compared to last year.
In September 2020, the sector had lost 10,668 million dollars, representing a collapse of 57.3%, compared to the first nine months of 2019, and a negative variation never before recorded in the history of that industry, as reported by the newspaper The financial.
It was highlighted that the loss in income is equivalent to the cost of 2.3 Interurban Trains Mexico-Toluca; o 2.7 times what is planned to be invested in the Santa Lucía International Airport o 1.4 Maya Trains in the southeast of the country.
According to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI), the spill of foreign visitors amounted to 7,951 million dollars (until September 2020), a figure very far from the 18,620 million who entered the country between January and September 2019.
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