Can you imagine that we could find out what position Blanca Paloma will be in at Eurovision 2023? That would be crazy, right? Especially, taking into account that the final will take place on May 13 in Liverpool. It is true that this year Spain starts as one of the favorites of the bookmakers, showing that YYYY Things are going well in Europe, but can we secure a top 5?
Last year they had already predicted that Slow motion by Chanel was going to be among the top rated performances, will history repeat itself this year? Well it could be. And it is that the forecasts sweep in favor of Blanca Paloma. But not only that! Now, thanks to Datamanía, a website that analyzes the news with all kinds of data, we can know where Spain could be.
Datamanía uses a mathematical model that allows to predict the position of all participants in Eurovision 2023. How do they get it? Well, by seeing the behavior of the televote and the jury of each country for ten years.
It was the web itself that, through a Twitter thread, explained how they managed to get Spain’s possible position. In fact, last year Chanel was supposed to come in fifth. They missed just a little.
Datamanía indicates that they take other factors into account: from payout bets to the different surveys that help predict the winner. Of course, the algorithm does not forget the history of votes between allies either.
What position is Blanca Paloma in then?
But let’s move on to the ones that really interest us, What position will Blanca Paloma be in this year with all this data that Datamanía has collected? Well, buckle up, because we’re almost at the top!
According to Datamanía we would be between 4th and 8th place. Also, we now have more options to win Eurovision than to finish in the last six places. Of course, we only remain victorious in 9 of the 10,000 simulations launched.
Concretely, Spain emerged victorious from 9 of the 10,000 simulations launched this afternoon.
Of the 10,000 simulations, we would have won the jury vote in 315 of them (3.15%) but only in 3 would we have won the public vote. (0.03%)
— Datamania.es (@datamania_em) April 16, 2023
The first place, according to this site, would be for Sweden and Loreen. Finland, Ukraine and Norway would retain the second, third and fourth places.