The government, trapped in its game: seeks international support, but sends signals of its own political crisis

Sergio Massa closes this Saturday, in India, a busy schedule meetings within the framework of the summit of G20 ministers. These are efforts to recover minimal care in the markets and to strenghten negotiations with the IMF. In other words: the government international oxygen requirement contain the economy, stretched by the effects of inflation, the lack of dollars and the first steps of the election year. Point, contradictory and expensive, is that the message is not only written in this meeting or in Washington. Local politics matter and the national signal is own crisis.

The Minister of Economy maintained a dozen contacts with officials participating in the meeting, including representatives of the United States, India, China, Germany and Brazil. Also, with officials of international organizations. A new conversation with Kristalina Georgieva plays on the set of economic negotiations with the IMF, in particular those related to target levels of committed reserves. Sensitive issues with interlocutors generally knowledgeable.

And what news was simultaneously leaving Buenos Aires? Fracture in the Pro-Government Senators’ Interblock – relevant data, with varied readings, including bills between Alberto Fernandez there Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner– failure of the extraordinary sessions convened by the President and serious clashes with the opposition – which drags its own detainees – because of the unified offensive of the ruling party against the Supreme Court of Justice.

All of these elements have their own story and together show deterioration. The delicate economic situation and its social effect fuel tensions and calculations in each space, but the political reaction, as an overall picture, is certain disconnection from reality. The levels of responsibility for the place of leadership are different, but the debate in the opposition – in Together for Change, but not exclusively – revolves around the interpretation of the “crack” and how to deal with it. At this time, there is no complete reference to the demands that the crisis would require of the new governmentit doesn’t matter, in terms of political armament.

In the case of the ruling party, the fracture of a quartet of senators constitutes the most disturbing information, especially if it is considered symptom. For some, serious alarm in the context of other signs of accommodation for preserve their own spaces against national attrition, as evidenced by the disengagement from provincial elections in the case of some Peronist governors. Most striking, however, was the subsequent attempt to assign blame only to Olivos made by Kirchnerism, placing itself once again outside the leadership and despite the break in the absolute domination of CFK in the Upper House.

The movement of dissident senators does not appear uniform, even if it was presented from the start as a construction “antigrieta” or at least away from the inner rift from the front to power. The individual intentions in the formalization of the new bloc, under the title of Federal Unity, seem different. deserves a brief review.

the jjeño Guillermo Snopek He pointed directly at Alberto Fernández, also caught up in the climate of disputes in the divided Peronism of his province. the san luisena Maria Eugenia Catalano responds to the Peronism of his neighborhood, with Alberto Rodriguez Saa shows off next Juan Schiaretti. the correntino Carlos Espinola is less aligned and Entre Ríos Edgardo Kueider He tried to emphasize that this is not a complete break with the ruling party. The move counted, from the outside, with Alejandra Vigowife of the Governor of Cordoba. We’ll see how it goes.

However, the first direct expression was the frustration of the Frente de Todos in its attempt to hold the first and only session of the extraordinary period in the Senate. Last Monday and Tuesday, talks were held to achieve a quorum. As usually happens, JxC was not contacted to agree on the date and the agenda. The party in power, accompanied by two or three permanent allies, guaranteed the number. This time, This was not the case due to the emigration of the four aforementioned senators.

This split generated two opposing readings on the surface, but indicators of the state of affairs in the ruling party. Kirchnerism circulated Snopek’s memo, which harshly accused Alberto Fernández. The bill was exposed as one more way to make him solely responsible for deterioration and costs mismanagement in management. On the contrary, the other evaluation, also unidirectional, highlighted an injury for CFK in their own territory of power.

The other remarkable element, also visible from the outside, is that the legislative stage decreed by the executive power passed without any session. Alberto Fernández presented to the Congress a list of 26 shares -three of them claimed by the Economy-, in addition to the impulse to lawsuit in the supreme court. Perhaps next Tuesday the Frente de Todos will reach a quorum of deputies to discuss some projects despite the rejection that JxC has maintained so far in response to the lawsuit against the Court.

The political process advances in the field of the commission of deputies with an adjusted workforce of the ruling party. He has no prospect of enshrining the prosecution in the precinct. But enough to expose the unity of the ruling party only in this area: the offensive on Justice combines the Kirchnerist pressure, the alignment of the President on this question and the silence of the massismo to avoid a differentiated gesture which could have repercussions on the Kirchnerist artillery on his administration.

It is known: the accusation against the head of the judiciary constitutes significant external data. And the opposition has just added, in addition, loud accusations about violation of the basic rules of the process which targets the four judges of the Court and tries to endorse operations of “illegal information”.

Next Wednesday, the focus will once again be on Congress. The President must address the Legislative Assembly. From the Circle of Olivos, it is revealed to be discourse-centric, anticipated as a new element of internal reading. We will see what the attitude of CFK is. Everything, with a projection beyond the local audience.